Hurricane monitoring center monitors two areas, including one off Florida

This week, National Hurricane Center forecasters are monitoring two areas for possible tropical development, including one off the east coast of Florida that is currently at low risk of formation.

In its tropical update at 8 a.m. Sunday, the hurricane center said an area of ​​low pressure was expected to develop midweek northeast of the central Bahamas.

“Environmental conditions could be conducive to some development of this system later as it moves west or west-northwest,” senior hurricane specialist Jack Beven wrote in the update. up to date. The chances of the NHC forming a tropical depression are near zero over the next 48 hours and 30% over the next seven days.

Another area monitored by the NHC is in the southwest Gulf of Mexico, where an area of ​​weather disturbances has formed over Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, and the northwest Caribbean Sea.

“A large area of ​​low pressure is expected to form from this system over the southwest Gulf of Mexico in the next day or two. Environmental conditions appear tropical conducive to the gradual development of this system, and a depression could form by mid-week as it slowly moves westward or west-northwestward,” said Beven.

The center of the hurricane gives the system a 10% chance of developing in the next 48 hours and an “average” 60% chance of developing in the next seven days.

“Regardless of how the situation develops, several days of heavy rain are expected in parts of southern Mexico and Central America,” Beven said. “These rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. »

Although many hurricane season forecasts indicate that conditions look favorable for a potentially historic season for a number of storms that could form, there could be some good news, albeit temporary.

The Hurricane Center’s Tropical Analysis and Forecasting Branch posted on X, formerly Twitter, that Saharan dust was heading our way.

“An outbreak of Saharan dust is moving westward across the Atlantic Ocean, suppressing shower and storm activity,” the social media post said. “These outbreaks typically peak from late June to early August and subside rapidly by mid-August. »

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