President Biden leads former President Donald Trump by a razor-thin margin in the race for the 2024 White House, according to a new poll.
The Fox News investigation, released Wednesday, shows the incumbent leading the former commander in chief 50 to 48 percent in a face-off rematch of the 2020 election.
Biden, 81, also maintains his advantage over Trump, 78, in a hypothetical five-way race, leading by a one-point margin, 43% to 42%.
The results mark a 3-point shift in support for Biden from last month’s poll, where Trump was ahead by 1 point, according to the Fox News survey.
Including third-party candidates, the president benefited from a gain of 4 points compared to May, when Trump was ahead of him by 3 points.
Biden’s rise in the polls coincides with positive views of the economy that have reached record levels under his presidency.
Thirty-two percent of registered voters said the economy was in “excellent” or “good” shape, surpassing the previous Biden-era high of 30% from last month.
However, the majority of Americans (68%) believe the economy is doing “worse” or “bad” under Biden.
The president also saw a surge in support from independent voters, who favored him by 9 points over Trump.
In May, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee held a 2-point advantage over Biden among independents.
/2024 before
Trump’s advantage over Biden on two major issues — immigration and the economy — has declined sharply from last month.
What to know about the planned debates between President Biden and former President Trump:
- President Biden and former President Donald Trump have tentatively agreed to two presidential debates before November. 5. election.
- Biden released a video telling Trump to “make my day, buddy” and debate him. The president noted that Trump had previously asked to debate “anytime, anywhere and everywhere.”
- Trump accepted Biden’s challenge and wrote on Truth Social that he would be willing to have even more debates with large live crowds.
- The first debate will be hosted by CNN at the company’s Atlanta headquarters at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 27. There will be no live audience and moderators will be announced at a later date.
- The second debate will be hosted by ABC News on Tuesday September. ten.
- The Commission on Presidential Debates – which has organized the debates since the 1988 election – will also not be involved in the debate.
- Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was not invited to participate in the debates. Kennedy accused the other candidates of “collusion” to keep him out of the events.
On immigration, voters trust Trump more than Biden by 9 points, but the former president enjoyed a 15-point trust advantage in May.
Economically, Trump holds a 5-point advantage over Biden, down from his 13-point lead last month.
“There isn’t much movement in this poll since May, but it’s enough to make it a welcome poll for Biden,” Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News surveys with Republican pollster Daron Shaw.
“Improving voter preferences is one thing, but perhaps more importantly, we have seen a notable erosion of Trump’s advantage on the economy and immigration, while Biden has built on his advantages in matters of abortion and health care,” he added. “If voters do not perceive Trump as significantly better on the economy and immigration, the case for returning to power will become much murkier for some voters.”
The poll, conducted June 14-17, found that guilty verdicts in Trump’s secret trial in Manhattan and his first son Hunter Biden’s gun case in Delaware did not move much things.
Just 2% of voters said Trump’s belief made them support the president, and an equal percentage said Hunter’s belief made them support the former president.
“The underlying demographic trends that defined the race remain in place,” Shaw said.
“Biden improved slightly among women and seniors, keeping him afloat despite significant reductions from 2020 in support among younger voters and African Americans,” he added.
Biden and Trump will face off next week in the first of two presidential debates scheduled before the November election.